Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.002452 0.002608 0.002774 0.002965 0.003182 0.003420 0.003704
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.002249 0.002467 0.002714 0.003017 0.003385 0.003826 0.004407
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.002069 0.002319 0.002613 0.002993 0.003483 0.004111 0.005017
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.001965 0.002243 0.002583 0.003040 0.003662 0.004519 0.005876
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.001859 0.002152 0.002519 0.003030 0.003757 0.004820 0.006660
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.001756 0.002054 0.002434 0.002978 0.003780 0.005013 0.007320
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.001712 0.002027 0.002439 0.003046 0.003983 0.005521 0.008732
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.001667 0.001993 0.002430 0.003092 0.004155 0.006011 0.010356
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.001596 0.001922 0.002362 0.003042 0.004163 0.006206 0.011414
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.001520 0.001837 0.002270 0.002946 0.004082 0.006213 0.011990
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.001476 0.001795 0.002236 0.002938 0.004148 0.006526 0.013676
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.001390 0.001691 0.002107 0.002769 0.003913 0.006165 0.012966
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001361 0.001667 0.002096 0.002794 0.004039 0.006633 0.015648
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001338 0.001651 0.002097 0.002837 0.004206 0.007252 0.019960
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001300 0.001612 0.002060 0.002815 0.004243 0.007572 0.023607
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001281 0.001598 0.002061 0.002856 0.004414 0.008306 0.032535
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001251 0.001568 0.002034 0.002847 0.004479 0.008773 0.042425
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001215 0.001527 0.001988 0.002800 0.004457 0.008970 0.051379
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001204 0.001523 0.002002 0.002861 0.004683 0.010088 0.103607
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001190 0.001514 0.002004 0.002902 0.004870 0.011202 0.347541
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001160 0.001478 0.001963 0.002857 0.004845 0.011470 1.189966
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001122 0.001431 0.001902 0.002772 0.004711 0.011222 1.979109
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001102 0.001410 0.001882 0.002764 0.004769 0.011872 NaN